NV REPUBS FACING A BLOODBATH IN ELECTION?

Sept. 28, 2024

As this critical election approaches, Nevada will play a pivotal role in deciding the presidency, Senate, and House. And frankly, the Dems are beating the Republicans in all three Clark County-leaning Dem Congressional Districts here in Nevada. While the NVGOP has done a really good job closing the voter registration gap state-wide, the Dems have the money, media, and momentum while Nevada Republicans have played it safe with safe candidates. Congressional candidates who don’t make waves or make headlines, good or bad.

The landscape all changed when Dems ruthlessly dumped Biden, replacing him for Harris. For many voters, Harris is a new shiny black female candidate sounding more conservative on taxes, inflation, and the border than most Republicans. While many of you are thoughtful critical thinkers, most voters are superficial and fall for great media marketing. And Dems have us beat there by a country mile.

Trump is down by 1 point in Nevada polls, enough for the Democrats to steal the election with mail-in ballots days after the election, again.

Republicans need to be ruthless with their money and time right now. Trump is the only place Nevada Republicans need to put money and effort right now. Winning the Presidency is our only hope of preserving our country’s sanity.

Elections come down to two things: name ID and like-ability.

CD# 1 Dem Dina Titus has been in Nevada politics since the Mesozoic Era and in her current seat since 2013. She held CD3 prior before losing it to Joe Heck in 2010. No one has come close to beating Titus in her safe district seat. And Mark Robertson, a nice guy who lost two years ago, has literally no cash and no chance this time either.

CD #3 Drew Johnson, a DC think tank policy wonk, has run a safe, boring race. Drew is a clean, reserved man with a nice wife and a nice smile. But with only $500K, he’s hopelessly outgunned by Susie Lee, who was sitting pretty with $4 million plus millions more from the DNC. Susie Lee has name ID that $50 million plus bought over the last 4 election cycles. On top of that, she is extremely wealthy in her own right. Susie Lee, like the rest of the Dems, co-oped Trump’s policy of cutting taxes on tips, eliminating any political advantage. The last time a Republican held this seat was Joe Heck back in 2016. This week, the Hill has Susie Lee’s chances of winning at 91%. 

CD #4 Congressman Steven Horsford has been a state senator since 2004 and the majority leader of the Nevada State Senate from 2009 to 2012. They drew the CD4 map for Horsford. He has held the seat since 2012, accepting one term. But this year might have been the year he faced a real challenge by former Democrat, former fellow State Senator, and former North Las Vegas Mayor John Lee. But Lee has run a safe, boring race while Horsford has outspent him with some $9 million to Lee’s $200K.

Sam Brown had enormous promise going into this race. He had name ID from his strong showing against Adam Laxalt in the 2022 primary race, all the king’s men, and all the king’s money. But the Republican primary chewed him up with negative ads that Jacky Rosen was all too eager to run away with her $32 million cash advantage over Sam’s $10 million. But Sam has played it safe and boring, refusing to make waves, which he desperately needs to break out. Currently, he’s down by 10 points.

With only weeks to go until early voting, Nevada Republicans need to go all in on Trump. The rest of the Congressional and senate races are lost.